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    December 26

    对楼市房价的反思:房价依然会上涨的几大原因

    纯属转贴,比较有道理。
     
    从目前中国经济大背景来看,房价上涨依然会持续升温,主要原因有:

    1. 中国经济实力大飞跃

    2. 中国城市化进程加快

    3.房地产在国民经济中的支柱产业地位决定的

    4.人民币不断升值带来的投资热

    5.银行房贷的宽松环境推动了房价

    6.土地交易成本及各种税费抬高了房价

    7.地产寡头的垄断抬高了房价

    8.地方政府利益的考虑与中央政策的博弈

    9. 传统观念----家家有房

    Comments (1)

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    Jay Zhaowrote:
    没道理。
    特别是后面6-8条,首先就假定了中央政府在博弈中的失败,使写出这几条的人有明显的目的性。
    第9条,家家有房和家家买房是完全不同的概念。

    第一到第四条都是一般所谓经济学家的理由,但是中国大陆几乎没有真正的经济学家,所以。。。

    在一虎一席谈某次的节目中请来了某温州炒房团的组织者,一个女的,注意她当时回答现在房地产投资方向时候的用词。

    看市场要看龙头。这轮房地产市场的领涨者是上海,上海市场已经停止上涨,开始横盘,接下来将进入下跌周期。


    我赞同2008年下跌的观点。
    Feb. 23

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